The PGA TOUR heads to North Carolina this week as the Sedgefield Country Club hosts the Wyndham Championship. The course is a par-70 measuring just over 7,100 yards with Bermuda grass greens. The winning score is usually around the 21-sub range, so we’ll have to target the birdie makers this week.
I’ll be highlighting the best cash games / single entry games on the main DraftKings slate, but these players are often great options in any contest.
My analysis will frequently refer Wins won, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many strokes on average it takes a player to put the ball in the hole of any distance and situation. Strokes Gained is now available in PGA FantasyLabs models.
There are a variety of metrics related to won stroke, but the top six categories you should be aware of include:
- Shots won: off the tee (SG: Off-the-Tee)
- Strokes won: approach (SG: Approach)
- Strokes won: Around the green (SG: Around the green)
- Strokes won: putting (SG: put)
- Strokes Won: Ball Strike (SG: Ball-Striking), which is SG: Off-the-Tee + SG: Approach
- Strokes won: from tee to green (SG: Tee-to-Green), which is SG: Ball-Striking + SG: Around-the-Green
For more information on Strokes Gained data and how to use it, see this article by Bryan Mears on The Action Network, which details each of the above metrics. I also recommend Chris Murphy’s Strokes Gained column after each round of this week’s PGA TOUR event, which highlights Golfers to Buy and Go, as well as Matthew Vincenzi’s weekly “Stats That Matter” column which highlights highlight the Strokes Gained sub-metrics that matter most for a given course.
The following players listed are based on DraftKings rating and pricing.
Webb Simpson ($ 10,600 DraftKings)
It’s the biggest lock of the week and it’s not really close.
Simpson is the betting favorite in most sports betting, but somewhat of the third most expensive golfer on DraftKings. Let’s start with its pristine history in Sedgefield. He won this event in 2011 and since 2014 he has become T-5, T-6, T72, 3rd, T-2, 2e, T-2. You’d be hard pressed to find a golfer with a better history on any course than Simpson at Sedgefield.
It certainly makes sense when you think about it, as he was born in Raleigh, went to college in Wake Forest, and currently resides in Charlotte. Simpson loves this tournament so much that he actually named his third child Wyndham. He played exceptionally two rounds last week in Memphis, including a 64 on Sunday. He’s ready for another great performance this week and is in fade territory at your peril this week in all competition formats.
Seamus Power ($ 8,500 DraftKings)
Power recently played the best golf of his career. He just picked up his first career PGA TOUR victory at Barbasol a few weeks ago and before that he posted a pair of T-8s at Rocket Mortgage and John Deere. He has yet to miss a cup since returning from the Korn Ferry Tour in mid-May and has made three of four cups at Sedgefield during his career.
The Irishman ranks # 2 in this area in SG: Tee-to-Green and # 1 for total strokes won in his last 16 rounds. You could actually argue that it costs around $ 1,000 cheap in this area, so at $ 8,500 we should definitely be looking to take advantage of DraftKings’ pricing error and put it in games from. money this week.
Charl Schwartzel ($ 8,100 DraftKings)
I’m not sure what Schwartzel needs to do to get his price up on DraftKings, but as long as they keep removing him, we’ll continue to confidently fire him. He’s now posted seven top-26 finishes in his last nine contested events, including a T-2 in his last appearance at the 3M Open.
Schwartzel has only played this event three times since 2012, posting a T-14, T-3 and a missed cut in that stretch. The South African is ninth in this area in SG: Tee-to-Green and seventh in total strokes won in his last 24 rounds. He is 45/1 on DK sports betting, but there are 22 prices higher than him. It is the epitome of a solid cash game.
Brandt Snedeker ($ 7,900 DraftKings)
Snedeker will always be in play at events featuring short par 70s, especially those that turn into putting contests like what we should be having this week. He won this event in 2018 and has also finished twice in the top five since 2011. Sneds has made eight of his last 10 cuts and has very good long-term rolling stats, ranking 13th in SG: Putting and 16th. in total strokes won during his last 36 rounds in this area.
He won’t be penalized for his lack of distance at the start this week, and we know he can get as hot as anyone on the TOUR with the putter, so at $ 7,900 he makes a lot of sense as an option. valuable.
Hank Lebioda ($ 7,600 DraftKings)
Lebioda was in the midst of the best round of golf of his career before retiring from 3M to settle a family affair. Prior to that he had been T-8, T-4, T-5 at JDC, Rocket Mortgage and Travelers. The rolling numbers also reflect his solid game, as he ranks second in this area for total strokes won and No. 1 in SG: putting in his last 16 rounds.
He’s made two starts at Sedgefield in his career, making the cut both times with a T-42 last year. The withdrawal at 3M has certainly kept its price low, which seems to be the theme of the week. I see no reason to stray from Hammerin ‘Hank here after his recent stellar play streak.
Harold Varner III ($ 7,500 DraftKings)
It’s never so exciting to form HV3, but he has a solid history at this event, making four of the five cuts with a pair of top 10. A lot of people in this industry laugh at the history of courses, but believe. -on it or not, these guys are humans, not robots, and have affinities for certain tracks that just can’t be quantified in the data. Concrete example, Billy Horschel last week.
Back on track here, Varner has a T-15 and a T-11 in his last two non-UK departures. He played superbly at Barracuda and won 1.3 or more tee-to-green shots at JDC in three of his four rounds. It has a ton of perks for someone priced at $ 7,500 and I think it’s more than reasonable to expect another cut done this week.
Ryan Armor ($ 7,000 DraftKings)
I can promise you this will be the first and last time Ryan Armor is mentioned in this column for the rest of the year. However, he certainly has a keen eye for Sedgefield, posting four consecutive top-25s here since 2017 with a T-8 and a T-4 in that streak. He missed the cut at Barracuda, but before that he finished T-6 and T-5 at 3M and Barbasol.
Armor isn’t long off the tee which won’t hurt him this week and is one of the best putters in the field, ranking 17th in this department in his last 48 laps. You can certainly do a lot worse for just $ 7,000 by completing your cash game rosters this week.
Pictured Above: Webb Simpson
Credit: Tracy Wilcox / PGA TOUR via Getty Images