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DraftKings Cash Game Plays: NFL Week 4


DraftKings Cash Game Plays: NFL Week 4

The NFL Week 4 slate is ready to be attacked, but first, let’s consider how to react to the latest DFS slates. With only two weeks of data, it’s not hard to overreact to what we’ve seen on the ground. Let other people research the result stats, and we’ll focus on usage and opportunities instead. Let’s go through each position at a variety of salary levels to see which are the best cash games on DraftKings. For these purposes, a cash game is any contest that pays out at least one-third of the field. While these are also viable GPP options, we are primarily looking for safe flooring combined with heavy use that can lead to ceiling gaps.

Week 3 Results

Here is my Week 3 cash game lineup for Doubles, 50/50 and Heads-up for Week 3:

Results:

  • Giant $10 Double Up (Single Entry) – 1557/4597
  • Giant $10 Double Up (Single Entry) – 2835/8620
  • Giant $10 Double Up (Single Entry) – 833/2298
  • Giant $5 Double Up (Single Entry) – 4985/17241
  • Giant $5 Double Up (Single Entry) – 3523/11494
  • NFL $5 Double Up – 22/100

Last week in DFS it was all about if you had Mack Hollins in cash game. He was between 20% and 40% aligned depending on the contests you entered, and he was key to unlocking a win, assuming you went with other chalky players who broke. It was a week where David Montgomery, Leonard Fournette and Stefon Diggs all had relatively modest games, but they were lined up everywhere, so that wasn’t the differentiator. Even the top two quarterbacks, Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, scored the same number of fantastic points, so it was really up to Hollins. My last move in this roster was Josh Allen plus Brandin Cooks or Jalen Hurts plus Tee Higgins. Clearly I made the wrong choice but I was lucky to win 100% of the contests because Hollins covered up the error.

Strategist

Josh Allen ($8,400) and his rival on the other sideline (Lamar Jackson) will likely be the two most popular quarterbacks in the entire DFS on Sunday. This game has the highest implied total on the slate (51 points) and features two quarterbacks who can beat you with their arms and legs. Allen threw 63 times in a regulation game against Miami last week, and as long as Buffalo continues to throw at a 66 percent rate (sixth in the league), Allen will continue to pay his hefty quarterback salary. The Ravens allowed each of the three quarterbacks they faced to reach 300 yards, so the bonus is clearly within Allen’s grasp.

Lamar Jackson ($8,300) looks like the unmatched MVP through three games this season, averaging 250 passing yards, 81 rushing yards and four total touchdowns per game. The Bills allowing only 8.7 DraftKings points per game at quarterbacks for three games could give some people pause. But they have yet to face a double threat like Lamar Jackson. The Bills have already lost Christian Benford and Micah Hyde to injuries and now list two other cornerbacks as questionable due to injury this week. It got so bad the Bills had to sign two street-less agent cornerbacks just so they could make sure they got enough healthy players this week. It’s a depleted defense that Lamar will have to face and he should be able to dominate them.

Marcus Mariota ($5,600) seems like the best quarterback around if you choose to pay at the position. I’m probably looking to spend on one of the top three (Jalen Hurts at $8,200 being the other) this week, but Mariota has some appeal. The Browns are giving up 21.6 DK points per game to opposing quarterbacks, including two rushing touchdowns already.


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Ryan Kirksey

Ryan is a 20-year veteran of fantasy league baseball, football, and basketball. He has been writing about fantasy sports, sports betting and DFS since 2018 and is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. The Houston native is a die-hard fan of the Astros, Rockets and, begrudgingly, the Texans. When he’s not buried under sports analysis, he works full-time in higher education and can be found pursuing his other passions: drinking coffee and writing about investing and speculation in the comic.